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Kelsey Plum · WNBA 2017 — Beyond the Box

Kelsey Plum

SportsDataverse / WNBA StatsREG · 2017 · Coverage: partial · Freshness: unknown · Publication: partialSource as of: Oct 4, 2017 · Data through: Oct 4, 2017

Kelsey PlumLos Angeles Sparks · Drafted 2017 #1 · 9 published seasons

Compared with 134 players, 10+ GP

n is the qualified comparison sample for that metric. A percentile rank needs at least two comparable values; unavailable ranks are left unestimated.

White dot: Average
Blue dot: Good
Red dot: Bad

Scoring

Points per gamen=134

8.5

True shooting %n=134

47.9%

Shooting

Effective FG %n=134

41.7%

3-point %n=119

36.5%

3PA raten=134

0.39

FT raten=134

0.28

Playmaking

Assists per gamen=134

3.4

Rebounding

Rebounds per gamen=134

1.9

Defense

Steals per gamen=134

0.5

Blocks per gamen=134

0.1

Latest team: Los Angeles Sparks

2017 per game

PTS: 8.5
REB: 1.9
AST: 3.4
STL: 0.5
BLK: 0.1

31 GP · 23.0 MIN

The read

Strongest in playmaking. Rebounding is the weak spot.

Fingerprint · percentile, line is the median

Scoring46th percentile
Shooting57th percentile
Playmaking84th percentile
Rebounding30th percentile
Defense35th percentile

MoneyOpen tab →

Reported cap charge

Shot zones · 2017

No regular-season shot locations for 2017.

Shooting splits

Shooting splits for the selected season. An em dash means the value is unavailable.
Split	Made–att.	Value	Pctl
Field goals	85–246	34.6%	—
Threes	35–96	36.5%	75
Free throws	60–69	87.0%	—
True shooting	—	47.9%	29
Effective FG	—	41.7%	23
3PA rate	—	0.39	77
FT rate	—	0.28	53

Chart data by season
Season	Value
2017	47.9%
2018	60.1%
2019	47.2%
2021	57.9%
2022	60.8%
2023	61.8%
2024	56.3%
2025	57.8%

True shooting by season

DAWG — Recorded Actions · Regular season 2017

39.5Qualified · #91 of 121 (#49 of 64 guards)

Average of four component percentiles, 0–100, against her position in the same era; against every position it is 35.7. Compared with guards: her team's roster listing this season. Game-resample stability range 31.3–52.3 (not a credible interval).

Qualified: 713 minutes meets the 170-minute display threshold.

Four index components for regular season 2017: recorded count, rates per 40 minutes and percentile against this edition's era-local reference (computed from the adjusted rate). An em dash means the value is unavailable.
Component	Count	Observed /40	Adjusted /40	80% range	Pctl (pos)	Pctl (league)
Steals	16	0.90	1.05	0.80–1.32	13.3	16.1
Blocks	4	0.22	0.27	0.14–0.43	35.2	21.9
Offensive rebounds	12	0.67	0.74	0.51–1.01	35.2	19.4
Assists	106	5.95	5.80	5.10–6.52	74.2	85.5

How much each estimate leans on the league

Steals: 71% of the adjusted rate comes from this player's own record and 29% from the league population.
Blocks: 92% of the adjusted rate comes from this player's own record and 8% from the league population.

BIRD scoring impact

Edition: WNBA 2026 season incl. playoffs
State: Season summary
Evidence through: 2026-09-29
Units: pts / 100 possessions vs. the WNBA reference

Evidence-supported. Admitted possessions cut the prior variance of total BIRD by 67% (threshold 50%).

BIRD-OFF

Offensive scoring impact

+5.63

BIRD-OFF posterior intervals
50%	[+4.53, +6.73]
80%	[+3.54, +7.72]
95%	[+2.43, +8.82]

BIRD-DEF

Positive values mean fewer opponent points

−0.35

BIRD-DEF posterior intervals
50%	[−1.20, +0.50]
80%	[−1.96, +1.27]
95%	[−2.82, +2.12]

BIRD

OFF + DEF from the joint posterior

+5.28

BIRD posterior intervals
50%	[+3.80, +6.77]
80%	[+2.46, +8.10]
95%	[+0.97, +9.59]

Joint interval viewOFF, DEF, and Total

95% interval
80% band
50% interval
mean

Contract value · 2026

Paid · 2026 reported cap charge: $1000K
Value · from 2026 production: $1.3M

Producing like a $1.3M/yr player on a $1000K deal: within the range of deals this production typically gets.

Missed most of last season

Paid vs. value, by season

Paid
Value
Value above pay
Pay above value

Reported cap charges: Her Hoop Stats. Model: Beyond the Box wnba-contract-surplus-2.0.0.

Reported cap charge by season

Chart data by season
Season	Value
2026	$999,999

2026. Seasons with only a status appear as markers below.

2027 UFA

Ledger

Reported cap charges by season and team. An em dash means the value is not reported.
Season	Team	Cap charge	Status

Draft

Year: 2017
Round: 1
Pick: 1
Team: Las Vegas Aces

Career by season

Published regular-season lines by season, newest first; one row per team. An em dash means the value is unavailable.
Season	Team	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	GS	FG%	3P%	FT%	TS%	USG%	AST%
2026	Los Angeles Sparks	12	34.5	23.9	2.2	6.4	1.2	0.0	—	52.7%	38.3%	80.6%	65.3%	28.3%	32.4%

Accompanying diagnostics (not in the index)

Box-score diagnostics shown beside the index; none are added or subtracted.
Recorded action	Count	Observed /40
Defensive rebounds	47	2.64
Turnovers	79	4.43
Personal fouls	57	3.20

Turnovers with a credited steal: 50
Turnovers without a credited steal: 29
Offensive fouls committed: 7
Charges drawn: Unsupported: the feed does not name the player who drew the foul
Late, close steals / blocks: 1 / 0
Overtime steals / blocks: 0 / 0

Play-by-play steals, blocks, rebounds, assists and turnovers match the box score across 31 games. “Late, close” means the last five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime with the score within five before the event. A turnover without a credited steal is not necessarily a dead ball. Per-possession rates are not shown because on-court time is not independently verified.

DAWG — Recorded Actions by season

Every season and phase with a DAWG profile for this player. Each index is relative to that season's players (or, for postseasons, pooled nearby postseasons).
Season	Phase	Pos	DAWG	League	Rank	Min	State
2017	Regular	G	39.5	35.7	91	713	Qualified
2018	Regular	G	51.3	45.8	62	791	Qualified
2019	Regular	G	41.5	37.8	90	868	Qualified
2019	Post	G	41.4	33.8	12	176	Qualified
2021	Regular	G	46.1	43.9	72	663	Qualified
2021	Post	G	46.6	39.5	—	145	Provisional
2022	Regular	G	29.4	30.7	107	1183	Qualified
2022	Post	G	41.7	35.6	16	332	Qualified
2023	Regular	G	33.5	35.0	99	1263	Qualified
2023	Post	G	39.5	35.3	17	329	Qualified
2024	Regular	G	16.8	21.0	125	1289	Qualified
2024	Post	G	20.0	17.8	19	198	Qualified
2025	Regular	G	35.1	36.1	105	1508	Qualified
2026	Regular	G	29.7	33.4	136	519.3	Qualified

How this is calculated, and what it leaves out

DAWG — Recorded Actions covers four selected recorded box-score actions: steals, blocks, offensive rebounds and assists. It omits unrecorded off-ball work such as screens, box-outs, rotations, deflections and closeouts. It is not the full four-pillar DAWG model, and it does not measure motivation, toughness, complete defensive effectiveness or total player value.

Each component is counted per 40 played minutes, including overtime. The observed rate is count ÷ (minutes ÷ 40). The adjusted rate blends that record with the league population, using a Gamma–Poisson model fitted on nearby seasons (2015, 2016, 2018, 2019) and never on the season being scored. Fewer minutes means more pull toward the league average; with many minutes the adjusted and observed rates nearly agree. For high-minute passers the pull is slightly too strong: on the 2026 holdout their adjusted assist rates predicted about 5% worse than their observed rates.

Each player is judged against her own position. Guards, forwards and centres come from her team's roster listing that season (the first letter of a hybrid such as G-F), not from the stats being ranked, so a guard's blocks are compared with other guards' and a centre's assists with other centres'. The DAWG index averages these position-relative percentiles; the league index beside it uses the whole league.

The league-wide reference is frozen and era-local: REG player-seasons in 2017 with at least 170 minutes and all four components observed (121 player-seasons, reference dc6fd5b8945f). League rates have changed a lot since 1997 (assists per 40 are roughly 25–35% higher today), so a player is compared with her own era, and the index is not an absolute comparison across eras. The index is the plain average of the four component percentiles, with equal weights chosen as a first-version policy rather than learned basketball values. It is an average of percentiles, not the percentile of the index itself, a probability or points added. If any component is missing, the index is not shown, and the remaining components are never re-weighted.

Turnovers, personal fouls and defensive rebounds are shown separately and are not subtracted. Their meaning depends on role and game context, so the index is a positive-activity profile, not net value.

Covers four selected recorded box-score actions only; unrecorded off-ball work (screens, box-outs, rotations, deflections, closeouts) is omitted.
Percentiles compare each player with her own position group (guards, forwards or centres, from her team's roster listing) in the same era; they are not absolute comparisons across eras or positions. The league-wide index is shown alongside.
Position groups are coarse listings: a hybrid such as G-F counts by its first letter. Players with no listing are compared with the whole league.
An average of component percentiles, not a percentile of the composite, a probability, points added or total player value.
Equal component weights are a fixed policy, not learned basketball values.
Adjusted rates are pulled toward the league-wide average, not the position average, so low-minute guards' blocks and offensive rebounds (and centres' assists) read slightly high within their group.
Turnovers and fouls are shown separately and are not subtracted; the index is a positive-activity profile, not net value.
Does not measure motivation, toughness or complete defensive effectiveness.
Component intervals are conditional empirical-Bayes estimates with fitted hyperparameters; they ignore hyperparameter uncertainty.
Conditional empirical-Bayes interval given fitted hyperparameters; hyperparameter uncertainty is not included.
10th-90th percentile of the index over 300 whole-game resamples with the reference fixed. A stability range, not a credible interval or ranking probability.
Percentiles of players with few minutes sit closer to 50 because their adjusted rates are pulled harder; early-season numbers understate standouts.

Edition: wnba_dawg_recorded_actions_v1 v1.2.0
Box source: wnba_stats.player_game_logs · partition updated 2026-09-28
Play-by-play: wnba_stats.play_by_play · 204 of 204 games · diagnostics only
Shrinkage gate: Passed: on the registered 2026 holdout, adjusted rates predicted later counts better than observed rates in all four components.
Status: Method 1.2.0. A descriptive profile of recorded actions; see the limitations above.

Chart data by season
Season	Value
2026	$999,999

Chart data by season
Season	Value
2017	8.55
2018	9.48
2019	8.62
2021	14.81
2022	20.17
2023	18.67
2024	17.82
2025	19.51
2026	21.53

View full data table

Career shooting by season data table
Season	FG%	3P%	TS%
2017	34.6%	36.5%	47.9%
2018	46.7%	43.9%	60.1%
2019	36.5%	35.7%	47.2%
2021	43.7%	38.6%	57.9%
2022	46.0%	42.0%	60.8%
2023	47.5%	38.9%	61.8%
2024	42.3%	36.8%	56.3%
2025	42.2%	35.5%	57.8%
2026	51.9%	37.7%	64.7%

BIRD posterior summary for Kelsey Plum
Component	Summary
OFF	mean +5.63; 50% interval [+4.53, +6.73]; 80% interval [+3.54, +7.72]; 95% interval [+2.43, +8.82]
DEF	mean −0.35; 50% interval [−1.20, +0.50]; 80% interval [−1.96, +1.27]; 95% interval [−2.82, +2.12]
Total	mean +5.28; 50% interval [+3.80, +6.77]; 80% interval [+2.46, +8.10]; 95% interval [+0.97, +9.59]

2026	Phoenix Mercury	$999,999	—	Protected Veteran
2027	Phoenix Mercury	—	UFA	—

Historical reported money

Historical reported salary and cap charge observations by season, team, and source.
Season	Amount type	Team	Amount	Status	Source
2026	Reported cap charge	PHX	$999,999	Status not reportedReported amount; not independently verified	Her Hoop Stats
2025	Reported cap charge	LA	$202,000	Status not reportedReported amount; not independently verified	Her Hoop Stats
2024	Reported cap charge	LV	$200,000	Status not reportedReported amount; not independently verified	Her Hoop Stats
2023	Reported salary	LV	$200,000	Status not reportedAmount not independently verified	Mendeley dataset
2023	Reported cap charge	LV	$200,000	Status not reportedReported amount; not independently verified	Her Hoop Stats
2022	Reported salary	LV	$180,250	Status not reportedAmount not independently verified	Mendeley dataset
2022	Reported cap charge	LV	$180,250	Status not reportedReported amount; not independently verified	Her Hoop Stats
2021	Reported salary	LV	$175,000	Status not reportedAmount not independently verified	Mendeley dataset
2021	Reported cap charge	LV	$175,000	Status not reportedReported amount; not independently verified	Her Hoop Stats
2020	Reported salary	LV	$68,000	Status not reportedAmount not independently verified	Mendeley dataset
2019	Reported salary	LV	$57,886	Status not reportedAmount not independently verified	Mendeley dataset
2018	Reported salary	LV	$52,623	Status not reportedAmount not independently verified	Mendeley dataset

Source-reported observations; amounts are not independently verified. No totals are calculated. Captured Oct 12, 2026; original historical availability is unknown.